The Decoder highlighted new analysis showing how quickly the frontier AI leaderboard is turning over. GPT-4 reportedly led the Epoch Capabilities Index for about a year, far longer than recent models.
Since Claude 3 Opus took the top spot in early 2024, the lead has changed hands 17 times, with a median stay of roughly seven weeks.
The pattern suggests competition is intense, but also that incremental gains are being contested rapidly as labs converge on similar capabilities.